Saturday, April 3, 2010

Pigeons outperform humans at the Monty Hall Dilemma

"Why is the Monty Hall Dilemma so perplexing to humans, when mere pigeons seem to cope with it? Hebranson and Schroder think this is a case of our own vaunted intelligence working against us. When faced with a problem like this, we try to think it through, working out the best solution before we do anything. This would be fine, except we’re really quite bad at problems involving conditional probability (such as “if this happens, what are the odds of that happening?”). Despite our best attempts at reasoning, most of us arrive at the wrong answer."

Consonant with the fact that teenagers are at risk in some situations not because they don't think, but because they do. Experience is a great teacher, if you learn from it.

in reference to:

"Education, it seems, actually worsens our performance at the Monty Hall Dilemma."
- Pigeons outperform humans at the Monty Hall Dilemma | Not Exactly Rocket Science | Discover Magazine (view on Google Sidewiki)

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